Blog post by Dave Baily
Wikipedia article about confirmation bias
gut feeling (noun phrase)
pan out (regular verb)
tell-tail sign of [s/th], (noun phrase)
deductive reasoning (noun phrase)
lead [s/b] astray (-led, -led)
Read the blog post to discuss the questions below:
- What is the difference between inductive reasoning and strategic reasoning?
- How can we protect ourselves from making decisions based on defective reasoning?
- How can these ideas be applied within a company? What about within a family?